Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.034672e-06 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.391773e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.867095e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.440999e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.084842e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.817248e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.583835e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000029
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.308168e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000033
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.107383e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000037
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.923562e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000013 0.000022 0.000042
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.792573e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000024 0.000049
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.717151e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000058
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.577076e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029 0.000066
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.468914e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000031 0.000075
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.366056e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000034 0.000086
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.276146e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000036 0.000098
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.195858e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000039 0.000111
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.135201e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000042 0.000129
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.078723e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000046 0.000150
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 9.993886e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000018 0.000047 0.000163
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 9.412025e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000050 0.000183
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 8.842036e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000053 0.000202
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.442009e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000019 0.000057 0.000231